neurotroph

Tag: predictions

  • Predictions for Presidential Elections Weren’t That Bad

    Predictions for Presidential Elections Weren’t That Bad

    Nathan Silver’s FiveThirtyEight has had an excellent coverage of the US Presidential Elections with some great analytical pieces and very interesting insights in their models. Each and every poll predicted Hillary Clinton to win the election and FiveThirtyEight was no exception to that. Consequently, there was a lot of discussion on pollsters, their methods and…

  • Differences in Pollster Predictions

    Differences in Pollster Predictions

    The New York Times published an interesting piece on the differences between pollsters’ predictions. All five predictions used the same data set, so sampling differences are not of concern. Still, there was a difference of up to 5% between the predictions.Â